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Every station we cover, every settled day on the record. One bar per station, lowest first. Nothing is filtered out, and the same measure runs through the whole page: how often the settling bucket was one of the two we named.
The landing page draws this same chart over the 15 stations we sell. This one is every station, which is why it runs lower.
The figure is top-three: how often the settling bucket was one of the three we named. The order is the top-two rate, ties broken by top-three and then first pick, which is why a higher top-three can sit below a lower one. Single is any 3 of the top 15, Pro is all 15, and the rest are covered but not sold. Recomputed 12 Oct 2026.
A top-two rate says the bucket that settled was one of the two we named. The two are adjacent rungs of the same ladder, so it measures how tightly the forecast brackets the outcome. It is not a win rate on a position, and reading it as one would overstate what we do: over the last 30 days, across the 15 stations we sell, our first pick settled 44.9% of the time, which is the number closer to a single bet.
The spread between stations is the part worth reading: from KSFO at 54.4% to LEMD at 86.3%. We read some cities much better than others, which is exactly why the plans sell the top of the list and not all of it.
Past rates describe what already happened and predict nothing. Position sizing is your responsibility alone. The landing page quotes the sold stations only, and says so.
| rank | station | top two | top three | first pick | plan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madrid LEMD | 86.3% | 94.7% | 55.8% | Single |
| 2 | Singapore WSSS | 85.7% | 96.7% | 54.9% | Single |
| 3 | Wellington NZWN | 84.4% | 96.7% | 54.4% | Single |
| 4 | Munich EDDM | 83.2% | 91.6% | 50.5% | Pro |
| 5 | Helsinki EFHK | 81.3% | 94.5% | 53.8% | Pro |
| 6 | Ankara LTAC | 80.2% | 92.3% | 48.4% | Pro |
| 7 | Shanghai ZSPD | 79.8% | 93.6% | 56.4% | Pro |
| 8 | Miami KMIA | 78% | 94.5% | 47.3% | Pro |
| 9 | Atlanta KATL | 76.9% | 89% | 40.7% | Pro |
| 10 | Kuala Lumpur WMKK | 75.8% | 93.4% | 45.1% | Pro |
| 11 | Paris LFPB | 74.7% | 91.6% | 47.4% | Pro |
| 12 | Mexico City MMMX | 74.4% | 88.9% | 42.2% | Pro |
| 13 | Houston KHOU | 72.5% | 96.7% | 45.1% | Pro |
| 14 | Austin KAUS | 72.5% | 85.7% | 41.8% | Pro |
| 15 | Los Angeles KLAX | 68.9% | 84.4% | 40% | Pro |
| 16 | Taipei RCSS | 68.1% | 79.8% | 41.5% | not sold |
| 17 | Buenos Aires SAEZ | 67% | 83.5% | 33% | not sold |
| 18 | Toronto CYYZ | 65.9% | 84.6% | 37.4% | not sold |
| 19 | Dallas KDAL | 65.9% | 82.4% | 44% | not sold |
| 20 | New York KLGA | 65.3% | 83.2% | 43.2% | not sold |
| 21 | Beijing ZBAA | 63.8% | 81.9% | 34% | not sold |
| 22 | Milan LIMC | 63.2% | 89.5% | 33.7% | not sold |
| 23 | London EGLC | 63.2% | 84.2% | 32.6% | not sold |
| 24 | Sao Paulo SBGR | 60.4% | 75.8% | 30.8% | not sold |
| 25 | Hong Kong HKO | 59.8% | 82.8% | 29.9% | not sold |
| 26 | Tokyo RJTT | 58.5% | 79.8% | 30.9% | not sold |
| 27 | Chicago KORD | 58.3% | 80.2% | 32.3% | not sold |
| 28 | Seoul RKSI | 55.3% | 72.3% | 30.9% | not sold |
| 29 | San Francisco KSFO | 54.4% | 77.8% | 28.9% | not sold |